2026/02/06

20260206

⚡ AFO Microstructure & Cost Analysis (V17.99b Abbr)

Spot: 31773DTE: 5   2026/02/06 14:24
風險狀態 (Risk State): 多空激烈交戰 (High Friction)

Gamma 核心: 32500 是全場引力中心 (Max Gamma Fuel)。


  • 空頭 (Short): 以 32000 為絕對防守點 (主力賣壓區)。若價格反彈至 31950 附近動能衰竭,進場佈空。目標下方主要結構支撐 31600
  • 多頭 (Long): 嚴禁在 Spot 附近接刀。主力資金位於 31000。等待回測 31600 附近且訊號翻正,進場佈多。目標上看主要結構壓力 32000
  • 中性 (Neutral): 推薦 Iron Condor。賣出 32000 Call (堅固壓力) + 賣出 31000 Put (堅固支撐),利用結構賺取 Theta。 [RISK] 當前動能強,小心翻轉穿價。

1. 全頻譜分級表 (Spectrum Matrix)

StrikeNetAccStr(%)NetFlowFlow(%)DNetFlowAct(%)AFOVerdictRisk NoteAvgCAvgP
30800-14526%6510%6413%共振WEAK⚔⬆ Bullish Test1273.3106.7
30850-14326%-508%-5010%共振WEAK⬇ DP0.0123.2
30900-22741%-15223%-12726%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP980.0139.2
30950-102%406%398%共振WEAK⚔⬆ Bullish Test0.0136.3
3100018533%660100%491100%共振★ IRONCLAD⬆ DS ($Real)906.7131.8
3105024244%29545%31264%共振★ IRONCLAD⬆ DS ($Real)915.0162.3
31100-44780%-16225%-12926%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP790.0173.1
31150468%437%8618%共振WEAK⬆ DS740.0180.1
31200478%-548%-15732%共振WEAK⚔⬇ Bearish Test715.0188.5
3125013524%12519%8818%共振WEAK⬆ DS640.0203.8
3130026648%14822%18838%共振★ IRONCLAD⬆ DS703.0211.9
31350-5310%-7612%-469%共振WEAK⬇ DP570.0214.1
31400-8115%-51%9119%翻轉WEAK⬆ AS620.0196.7
31450-44280%-447%153%侵蝕MODERATE▲ DgrP658.6255.9
3150014626%-11417%-34270%共振WEAK⚔⬇ Bearish Test ($Real)567.4241.0
31550-407%-365%-153%共振WEAK⬇ DP520.0291.4
3160021639%30246%27957%共振★ IRONCLAD⬆ DS509.6291.4
316508816%7111%7215%共振WEAK⬆ DS438.4317.9
31700-5610%-7211%-5812%共振WEAK⬇ DP491.4337.0
31750-122%9114%9319%共振WEAK⚔⬆ Bullish Test403.7340.1
31800-21138%-12419%-17736%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP382.8354.2
31850112%426%-357%翻轉WEAK⬇ AP373.7382.4
31900-316%579%204%共振WEAK⚔⬆ Bullish Test347.4433.7
31950-9517%8413%7014%共振WEAK⚔⬆ Bullish Test372.6457.3
32000-556100%-43666%-37977%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP ($Real) [100%]287.1371.9
32050-24744%-25038%-26454%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP246.6407.9
32100-52494%17126%-459%侵蝕MODERATE▲ DgrP [100%]295.0354.5
32150-13224%-6510%-4810%共振WEAK⬇ DP213.2496.8
32200-10319%91%41%共振WEAK⚔⬆ Bullish Test248.1539.5
32250-21238%-91%-388%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP254.7544.3
3230032158%29244%35472%共振★ IRONCLAD⬆ DS ($Real)153.1651.5
32350-132%-264%-82%共振WEAK⬇ DP315.8518.0
3240010519%13020%9219%共振WEAK⬆ DS260.2504.7
32450-8716%-8413%-8117%共振WEAK⬇ DP122.7687.3
32500-49990%-46270%-8317%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP114.5680.1
32550-30755%-25038%-19941%共振★ IRONCLAD⬇ DP99.1586.5
32600-25546%-8513%173%侵蝕MODERATE▲ DgrP99.2846.0
3265027449%30446%25151%共振★ IRONCLAD⬆ DS55.5638.7
3270011320%10416%15431%共振WEAK⬆ DS84.0981.0
32750-326%-91%5110%翻轉WEAK⬆ AS75.5629.3

2. 結構性偏斜與核心支撐/阻力 (Deep Dive)

  • 堅固天花板 (Fortified Ceiling): 上方最重結構位於 32000 (NetAcc: -556)。
  • 堅固地板 (Fortified Floor): 下方最強防守位於 32300 (NetAcc: 321)。 支撐上移,多頭強勢。
  • 日盤資金 (Active Force): 最大戰場位於 31000。 (High Premium, Real Money) 位於 31000,未與結構極值共振 (距壓力 32000 缺口 1000 點 / 距支撐 32300 缺口 1300 點)。

3. 風險能量計算 (Gamma Risk)

RankStrikeGamma FuelAccQtyCAccQtyP風險解讀
132500721-610-111Call Wall
232000646-601-45Call Wall
332100524-181343Call Wall
432400475-185-290Put Floor
531500453-153-299Put Floor

 

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