⚡ AFO Microstructure & Cost Analysis (V17.99b Abbr)
Spot: 31773DTE: 5 2026/02/06 14:24
風險狀態 (Risk State): 多空激烈交戰 (High Friction)。
Gamma 核心: 32500 是全場引力中心 (Max Gamma Fuel)。
- 空頭 (Short): 以 32000 為絕對防守點 (主力賣壓區)。若價格反彈至 31950 附近動能衰竭,進場佈空。目標下方主要結構支撐 31600。
- 多頭 (Long): 嚴禁在 Spot 附近接刀。主力資金位於 31000。等待回測 31600 附近且訊號翻正,進場佈多。目標上看主要結構壓力 32000。
- 中性 (Neutral): 推薦 Iron Condor。賣出 32000 Call (堅固壓力) + 賣出 31000 Put (堅固支撐),利用結構賺取 Theta。 [RISK] 當前動能強,小心翻轉穿價。
1. 全頻譜分級表 (Spectrum Matrix)
| Strike | NetAcc | Str(%) | NetFlow | Flow(%) | DNetFlow | Act(%) | AFO | Verdict | Risk Note | AvgC | AvgP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30800 | -145 | 26% | 65 | 10% | 64 | 13% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬆ Bullish Test | 1273.3 | 106.7 |
| 30850 | -143 | 26% | -50 | 8% | -50 | 10% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬇ DP | 0.0 | 123.2 |
| 30900 | -227 | 41% | -152 | 23% | -127 | 26% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP | 980.0 | 139.2 |
| 30950 | -10 | 2% | 40 | 6% | 39 | 8% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬆ Bullish Test | 0.0 | 136.3 |
| 31000 | 185 | 33% | 660 | 100% | 491 | 100% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬆ DS ($Real) | 906.7 | 131.8 |
| 31050 | 242 | 44% | 295 | 45% | 312 | 64% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬆ DS ($Real) | 915.0 | 162.3 |
| 31100 | -447 | 80% | -162 | 25% | -129 | 26% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP | 790.0 | 173.1 |
| 31150 | 46 | 8% | 43 | 7% | 86 | 18% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬆ DS | 740.0 | 180.1 |
| 31200 | 47 | 8% | -54 | 8% | -157 | 32% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬇ Bearish Test | 715.0 | 188.5 |
| 31250 | 135 | 24% | 125 | 19% | 88 | 18% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬆ DS | 640.0 | 203.8 |
| 31300 | 266 | 48% | 148 | 22% | 188 | 38% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬆ DS | 703.0 | 211.9 |
| 31350 | -53 | 10% | -76 | 12% | -46 | 9% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬇ DP | 570.0 | 214.1 |
| 31400 | -81 | 15% | -5 | 1% | 91 | 19% | 翻轉 | WEAK | ⬆ AS | 620.0 | 196.7 |
| 31450 | -442 | 80% | -44 | 7% | 15 | 3% | 侵蝕 | MODERATE | ▲ DgrP | 658.6 | 255.9 |
| 31500 | 146 | 26% | -114 | 17% | -342 | 70% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬇ Bearish Test ($Real) | 567.4 | 241.0 |
| 31550 | -40 | 7% | -36 | 5% | -15 | 3% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬇ DP | 520.0 | 291.4 |
| 31600 | 216 | 39% | 302 | 46% | 279 | 57% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬆ DS | 509.6 | 291.4 |
| 31650 | 88 | 16% | 71 | 11% | 72 | 15% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬆ DS | 438.4 | 317.9 |
| 31700 | -56 | 10% | -72 | 11% | -58 | 12% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬇ DP | 491.4 | 337.0 |
| 31750 | -12 | 2% | 91 | 14% | 93 | 19% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬆ Bullish Test | 403.7 | 340.1 |
| 31800 | -211 | 38% | -124 | 19% | -177 | 36% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP | 382.8 | 354.2 |
| 31850 | 11 | 2% | 42 | 6% | -35 | 7% | 翻轉 | WEAK | ⬇ AP | 373.7 | 382.4 |
| 31900 | -31 | 6% | 57 | 9% | 20 | 4% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬆ Bullish Test | 347.4 | 433.7 |
| 31950 | -95 | 17% | 84 | 13% | 70 | 14% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬆ Bullish Test | 372.6 | 457.3 |
| 32000 | -556 | 100% | -436 | 66% | -379 | 77% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP ($Real) [100%] | 287.1 | 371.9 |
| 32050 | -247 | 44% | -250 | 38% | -264 | 54% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP | 246.6 | 407.9 |
| 32100 | -524 | 94% | 171 | 26% | -45 | 9% | 侵蝕 | MODERATE | ▲ DgrP [100%] | 295.0 | 354.5 |
| 32150 | -132 | 24% | -65 | 10% | -48 | 10% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬇ DP | 213.2 | 496.8 |
| 32200 | -103 | 19% | 9 | 1% | 4 | 1% | 共振 | WEAK | ⚔⬆ Bullish Test | 248.1 | 539.5 |
| 32250 | -212 | 38% | -9 | 1% | -38 | 8% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP | 254.7 | 544.3 |
| 32300 | 321 | 58% | 292 | 44% | 354 | 72% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬆ DS ($Real) | 153.1 | 651.5 |
| 32350 | -13 | 2% | -26 | 4% | -8 | 2% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬇ DP | 315.8 | 518.0 |
| 32400 | 105 | 19% | 130 | 20% | 92 | 19% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬆ DS | 260.2 | 504.7 |
| 32450 | -87 | 16% | -84 | 13% | -81 | 17% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬇ DP | 122.7 | 687.3 |
| 32500 | -499 | 90% | -462 | 70% | -83 | 17% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP | 114.5 | 680.1 |
| 32550 | -307 | 55% | -250 | 38% | -199 | 41% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬇ DP | 99.1 | 586.5 |
| 32600 | -255 | 46% | -85 | 13% | 17 | 3% | 侵蝕 | MODERATE | ▲ DgrP | 99.2 | 846.0 |
| 32650 | 274 | 49% | 304 | 46% | 251 | 51% | 共振 | ★ IRONCLAD | ⬆ DS | 55.5 | 638.7 |
| 32700 | 113 | 20% | 104 | 16% | 154 | 31% | 共振 | WEAK | ⬆ DS | 84.0 | 981.0 |
| 32750 | -32 | 6% | -9 | 1% | 51 | 10% | 翻轉 | WEAK | ⬆ AS | 75.5 | 629.3 |
2. 結構性偏斜與核心支撐/阻力 (Deep Dive)
- 堅固天花板 (Fortified Ceiling): 上方最重結構位於 32000 (NetAcc: -556)。
- 堅固地板 (Fortified Floor): 下方最強防守位於 32300 (NetAcc: 321)。 支撐上移,多頭強勢。
- 日盤資金 (Active Force): 最大戰場位於 31000。 (High Premium, Real Money) 位於 31000,未與結構極值共振 (距壓力 32000 缺口 1000 點 / 距支撐 32300 缺口 1300 點)。
3. 風險能量計算 (Gamma Risk)
| Rank | Strike | Gamma Fuel | AccQtyC | AccQtyP | 風險解讀 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32500 | 721 | -610 | -111 | Call Wall |
| 2 | 32000 | 646 | -601 | -45 | Call Wall |
| 3 | 32100 | 524 | -181 | 343 | Call Wall |
| 4 | 32400 | 475 | -185 | -290 | Put Floor |
| 5 | 31500 | 453 | -153 | -299 | Put Floor |
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